Worcester Business Journal Special Editions

Economic Forecast 2015

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4 2015 Economic Forecast www.wbjournal.com Worcester Business Journal Table of contents Economic outlook survey ....................... 5 10 predictions for 2015 ......................... 9 A look back at our 2014 predictions ........................ 10 Top 5 business stories of 2014 ................................................. 11 Manufacturing & Technology ............... 13 5 things to watch in 2015 ......................... 13 Energy .................................................. 17 5 things to watch in 2015 ........................ 17 Real Estate ............................................ 21 5 things to watch in 2015 ........................ 21 Health Care ........................................... 25 5 things to watch in 2015 ........................ 26 Education ............................................. 29 5 things to watch in 2015 ......................... 30 Banking & Finance ................................ 33 5 things to watch in 2015 ......................... 34 A t the end of the year — any year — many people take stock of where they've been and where they want to go over the next 12 months. That's only natural, in part because the holidays provide enough time for reflec- tion and resolutions. Eat better? Check. Read more? Sure. Get to the gym more often? Absolutely! (Although in some cases, that won't last beyond mid-January.) Many businesses, if they're prudent, get a jump on plan- ning, usually early in the fourth quarter because of all the detail that becomes part of a broader strategy. We kept that in the back of our minds when we launched our annual Economic Forecast survey last month. We figure that with planning for 2015 well underway, the survey results would offer us a peek — at least at a 35,000-foot view — into what business leaders' thoughts are about the year ahead. Well, the numbers led us to this conclusion: "If you thought 2014 was a good year, 2015 will be even better." There were noteworthy victories for the economy in Central Massachusetts, as well as the broader state economy, in 2014. Topping the list of good news was the August announcement by GE Healthcare Life Sciences that it will move its headquarters to Marlborough, which will mean hundreds of jobs and a marquee name for the region in a growing industry. (See our roundup of the top stories of 2014, starting on Page 11.) Meanwhile, the state's job market improved with employment gains and a falling jobless rate. So, what does that mean for the year ahead? Here's what our survey, conducted between late November and early December, yielded: • More than three-quarters of respondents say business conditions are better today than they were a year ago, when just 63 percent felt that way about 2013. • Forty-four percent plan to hire more people, the only year in the last five in which more respondents said they would hire than not hire. (Thirty percent said they don't plan to hire in 2015.) • More than three-quarters — 77 percent — expect a jump in profits over 2014, up slightly from 73 percent last year. As we do every year for this special issue, we also offer our 10 predictions for the year ahead, as well as a report card on our prognostications for 2014. And in each of the six sections within this issue — Manufacturing & Technology, Energy, Real Estate, Health Care, Education, and Banking & Finance — we offer "5 Things to Watch" in 2015. From all of us at the Worcester Business Journal, we hope you find the 2015 Economic Forecast issue a useful tool as you reflect and look ahead. Please let us know what you'd like to see in this issue in years to come by emailing us at editorial@wbjournal.com. ~ Rick Saia, Editor The forecast? Sunnier than 2014 (which wasn't bad) 2015 Editor, Rick Saia, rsaia@wbjournal.com Web Editor/Columnist Christina H. Davis, cdavis@wbjournal.com Staff Writers Sam Bonacci, sbonacci@wbjournal.com (Banking & Finance, Real Estate, Manufacturing, Technology) Emily Micucci, emicucci@wbjournal.com (Education, Health Care, Retail, Law, Hospitality) Staff Writer/Copy Editor Carol McDonald, cmcdonald@wbjournal.com Contributors Susan Shalhoub, sshalhoub@wbjournal.com Livia Gershon Research Director, Roger Magnus rmagnus@nebusinessmedia.com Research Assistant, Heide Martin hmartin@wbjournal.com Art Director, Kira Beaudoin kbeaudoin@wbjournal.com Graphic Designer, Mitchell Hayes mhayes@wbjournal.com Manager of Video/Multimedia Services, Matthew Volpini mvolpini@nebusinessmedia.com Director, Major Accounts Bonnie Leroux, bleroux@wbjournal.com Senior Accounts Manager Matt Majikas, mmajikas@wbjournal.com Custom Publishing Project Manager Christine Juetten, cjuetten@wbjournal.com Marketing & Events Manager Kris Prosser, kprosser@wbjournal.com Sales Admin & Account Coordinator Susan Munyon, smunyon@wbjournal.com Controller, Mary Rogers mrogers@nebusinessmedia.com Accounting Assistant, Valerie Clark vclark@nebusinessmedia.com Collections Manager, Raki Zwiebel rzwiebel@nebusinessmedia.com Human Resources, Debbie Amorelli damorelli@nebusinessmedia.com Publisher, CEO, Peter Stanton pstanton@nebusinessmedia.com Associate Publisher, Mark Murray mmurray@wbjournal.com Group Publisher, Joseph Zwiebel jzwiebel@nebusinessmedia.com Worcester Business Journal (ISSN#1063-6595) is published bi-weeky, 24x per year, including 5 special issues in April, July, September, November and December, by New Engand Business Media. 172 Shrewsbury St., Worcester, MA 01604. Periodicals postage paid at Worcester, MA. Copyright 2014. All rights reserved. Postmaster: Please send address changes to: Worcester Business Journal, PO Box 330, Congers, NY 10920-9894. Subscriptions: Annual subscriptions are available for $49.95. For more information, please email wbjournal@cambeywest.com or contact our circulation department at 845-267-3008. Fax: 845.267.3478 Advertising: For advertising information, please call Mark Murray at 508-755-8004 ext. 227. Fax: 508-755-8860. Worcester Business Journal accepts no responsibility for unsolicited manuscripts or materials and in general does not return them to the sender. Worcester Business Journal 172 Shrewsbury Street Worcester, MA 01604 508-755-8004 tel. 508-755-8860 fax www.wbjournal.com

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