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2020 Mainebiz Five on the Future Forum - Jeff Fuhrer presentation

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Federal Reserve Bank of Boston | bostonfed.org | Bank Administration, 7 January 2020 Low interest rates—why is this a problem? ▶ Nominal rate = real rate plus inflation (target) ▶ Real rates appear to be low ▶ So on average, nominal rates will be low in normal times ▶ The problem: Less "policy space"—i.e. room to lower interest rates during recessions ▶ Recall: Funds rate today: 1.5-1.75% Sources: Wall Street Journal, Haver Analytics. 18 of 22

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